ZNK Krim (W) vs ND Primorje (W)

27 Sep 2026 · 19:45

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.2 pp

ZNK Krim (W)

ND Primorje (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 3.2% DRAW 7.0% AWAY 89.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 4.9% 19.00 DRAW 9.3% 10.00 AWAY 85.7% 1.09

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates ND Primorje (W) clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 89.9% win probability, compared with 85.7% implied by the market. The 4.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

ND Primorje (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

ZNK Krim (W) ND Primorje (W)

Shots 12.5 · On target 7.3 Shots 24.0 · On target 14.5

Recent attacking output favours ND Primorje (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ZNK Krim (W) ND Primorje (W)

Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 9.5 Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 2.3

ND Primorje (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ZNK Krim (W) ND Primorje (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours ND Primorje (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

ZNK Krim (W) ↑ +7.00 (+58.3%)

ND Primorje (W) ↓ -0.04 (-3.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.