South Korea U23 vs China U23

30 Sep 2026 · 08:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

South Korea U23

China U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 77.1% DRAW 15.1% AWAY 7.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 75.4% 1.27 DRAW 16.2% 5.92 AWAY 8.3% 11.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

South Korea U23 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

South Korea U23 China U23

Shots 8.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 8.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

South Korea U23 China U23

Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.0

South Korea U23 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

South Korea U23 China U23

The combined recent performance profile favours South Korea U23.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

South Korea U23 ↑ +0.01 (+1.0%)

China U23 ↓ -0.90 (-7.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.