Uzbekistan U23 vs Japan U23

30 Sep 2026 · 12:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Uzbekistan U23

Japan U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.2% DRAW 24.2% AWAY 54.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.0% 4.33 DRAW 24.8% 3.85 AWAY 53.1% 1.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Japan U23

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Uzbekistan U23 Japan U23

Shots 13.8 · On target 6.3 Shots 21.0 · On target 8.3

Recent attacking output favours Japan U23, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Uzbekistan U23 Japan U23

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Uzbekistan U23 Japan U23

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Uzbekistan U23 ↑ +0.96 (+28.4%)

Japan U23 ↓ -0.27 (-13.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.