Deportivo A Coruna vs FC Porto

02 Oct 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Deportivo A Coruna

FC Porto

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.4% DRAW 24.6% AWAY 32.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.8% 2.23 DRAW 25.1% 3.98 AWAY 30.1% 3.32

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Porto

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo A Coruna FC Porto

Shots 11.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 17.3 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours FC Porto, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo A Coruna FC Porto

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo A Coruna FC Porto

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Deportivo A Coruna ↓ -1.29 (-36.6%)

FC Porto ↑ +1.13 (+53.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.