CD Platense Zacatecoluca Reserves vs Fuerte San Francisco Reserves

27 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.9 pp

CD Platense Zacatecoluca Reserves

Fuerte San Francisco Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.6% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 26.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.7% 2.04 DRAW 25.1% 3.72 AWAY 29.2% 3.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for CD Platense Zacatecoluca Reserves relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 49.6% win probability, compared with 45.7% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

CD Platense Zacatecoluca Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Platense Zacatecoluca Reserves Fuerte San Francisco Reserves

Shots 11.8 · On target 6.8 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours CD Platense Zacatecoluca Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Platense Zacatecoluca Reserves Fuerte San Francisco Reserves

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Platense Zacatecoluca Reserves Fuerte San Francisco Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours CD Platense Zacatecoluca Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

CD Platense Zacatecoluca Reserves ↑ +0.29 (+16.6%)

Fuerte San Francisco Reserves ↓ -0.40 (-11.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.