CD Platense Zacatecoluca (W) vs Fuerte San Francisco (W)

27 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.1 pp

CD Platense Zacatecoluca (W)

Fuerte San Francisco (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 13.7% DRAW 17.3% AWAY 69.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 15.9% 5.75 DRAW 19.1% 4.80 AWAY 65.0% 1.41

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Fuerte San Francisco (W) clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 69.0% win probability, compared with 65.0% implied by the market. The 4.1 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Fuerte San Francisco (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Platense Zacatecoluca (W) Fuerte San Francisco (W)

Shots 6.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 13.0 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Fuerte San Francisco (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Platense Zacatecoluca (W) Fuerte San Francisco (W)

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 2.5

Fuerte San Francisco (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Platense Zacatecoluca (W) Fuerte San Francisco (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Fuerte San Francisco (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

CD Platense Zacatecoluca (W) ↓ -1.18 (-17.0%)

Fuerte San Francisco (W) ↑ +0.08 (+6.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.