Poland U20 vs Czechia U20

29 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.3 pp

Poland U20

Czechia U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.7% DRAW 26.6% AWAY 29.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.4% 2.28 DRAW 27.1% 3.40 AWAY 32.5% 2.84

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Poland U20 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 43.7% win probability, compared with 40.4% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Poland U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Poland U20 Czechia U20

Shots 7.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 5.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Poland U20 Czechia U20

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 5.3

Poland U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Poland U20 Czechia U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Poland U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Poland U20 ↓ -0.22 (-8.8%)

Czechia U20 ↑ +0.44 (+18.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.