Portugal U20 vs Switzerland U20

29 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.0 pp

Portugal U20

Switzerland U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 71.3% DRAW 18.3% AWAY 10.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 68.3% 1.38 DRAW 19.8% 4.76 AWAY 11.9% 7.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Portugal U20 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 71.3% win probability, compared with 68.3% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Portugal U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Portugal U20 Switzerland U20

Shots 8.8 · On target 4.5 Shots 5.0 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Portugal U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Portugal U20 Switzerland U20

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Portugal U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Portugal U20 Switzerland U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Portugal U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Portugal U20 = (0.0%)

Switzerland U20 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.