Universitario de Sucre vs Club Universitario Tarija

27 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Universitario de Sucre

Club Universitario Tarija

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 84.3% DRAW 10.8% AWAY 5.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 82.3% 1.14 DRAW 12.1% 7.75 AWAY 5.5% 17.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Universitario de Sucre has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Universitario de Sucre Club Universitario Tarija

Shots 12.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 7.0 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Universitario de Sucre, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Universitario de Sucre Club Universitario Tarija

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Universitario de Sucre Club Universitario Tarija

The combined recent performance profile favours Universitario de Sucre.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Universitario de Sucre = (0.0%)

Club Universitario Tarija ↑ +2.00 (+13.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.