Virginia USC vs Tiquipaya

27 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Virginia USC

Tiquipaya

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.2% DRAW 22.9% AWAY 22.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.3% 1.73 DRAW 23.6% 3.90 AWAY 23.1% 4.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Tiquipaya

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Virginia USC Tiquipaya

Shots 12.3 · On target 6.5 Shots 15.8 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Virginia USC Tiquipaya

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Virginia USC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Virginia USC Tiquipaya

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Virginia USC ↑ +0.06 (+3.8%)

Tiquipaya ↑ +0.25 (+6.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.