Club 1 de Mayo vs Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

27 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Club 1 de Mayo

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 62.9% DRAW 19.6% AWAY 17.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 62.2% 1.48 DRAW 20.5% 4.50 AWAY 17.3% 5.32

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Club 1 de Mayo Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

Shots 5.0 · On target 1.3 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Club 1 de Mayo Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.8

Club 1 de Mayo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Club 1 de Mayo Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Club 1 de Mayo = (0.0%)

Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz ↑ +0.57 (+12.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.