Venus PA vs Pinheirense EC

27 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Venus PA

Pinheirense EC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.6% DRAW 27.9% AWAY 27.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.3% 2.11 DRAW 28.1% 3.25 AWAY 28.5% 3.21

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Pinheirense EC

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Venus PA Pinheirense EC

Shots 2.5 · On target 1.5 Shots 10.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Pinheirense EC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Venus PA Pinheirense EC

Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Venus PA has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Venus PA Pinheirense EC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Venus PA ↑ +0.06 (+2.9%)

Pinheirense EC ↑ +0.11 (+3.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.