Puerto Montt vs Colo Colo

29 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.8 pp

Puerto Montt

Colo Colo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 11.6% DRAW 18.6% AWAY 69.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 15.0% 6.40 DRAW 20.9% 4.59 AWAY 64.1% 1.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Colo Colo clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 69.8% win probability, compared with 64.1% implied by the market. The 5.8 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Colo Colo has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Puerto Montt Colo Colo

Shots 10.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 18.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Colo Colo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Puerto Montt Colo Colo

Shots allowed 17.8 · On target allowed 8.0 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.3

Colo Colo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Puerto Montt Colo Colo

The combined recent performance profile favours Colo Colo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Puerto Montt ↓ -1.10 (-14.7%)

Colo Colo ↑ +0.09 (+6.3%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.