Sao Paulo Crystal FC vs Auto Esporte

27 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Sao Paulo Crystal FC

Auto Esporte

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.2% DRAW 28.7% AWAY 44.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.7% 3.76 DRAW 28.4% 3.40 AWAY 45.9% 2.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Auto Esporte

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sao Paulo Crystal FC Auto Esporte

Shots 3.0 · On target 0.5 Shots 6.0 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Auto Esporte, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sao Paulo Crystal FC Auto Esporte

Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 0.0 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 2.0

Sao Paulo Crystal FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sao Paulo Crystal FC Auto Esporte

The combined recent performance profile favours Sao Paulo Crystal FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Sao Paulo Crystal FC ↑ +0.96 (+34.1%)

Auto Esporte ↓ -0.05 (-2.3%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.