Aracaju FC U20 vs Falcon SE U20

27 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Aracaju FC U20

Falcon SE U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 14.0% DRAW 19.7% AWAY 66.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 15.0% 6.00 DRAW 20.8% 4.33 AWAY 64.2% 1.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Falcon SE U20

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Aracaju FC U20 Falcon SE U20

Shots 6.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 14.8 · On target 8.3

Recent attacking output favours Falcon SE U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Aracaju FC U20 Falcon SE U20

Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Aracaju FC U20 Falcon SE U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Falcon SE U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Aracaju FC U20 = (0.0%)

Falcon SE U20 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.