Club Aguara vs Comunal Cabrero

27 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Club Aguara

Comunal Cabrero

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.8% DRAW 26.6% AWAY 41.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.6% 2.81 DRAW 27.0% 3.39 AWAY 40.4% 2.27

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Comunal Cabrero has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Club Aguara Comunal Cabrero

Shots 12.3 · On target 5.3 Shots 13.8 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Club Aguara Comunal Cabrero

Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Comunal Cabrero has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Club Aguara Comunal Cabrero

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Club Aguara ↓ -0.03 (-1.0%)

Comunal Cabrero ↑ +0.01 (+0.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.