Zetech Sparks FC (W) vs Kenya Police Bullets (W)

28 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.9 pp

Zetech Sparks FC (W)

Kenya Police Bullets (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 8.4% DRAW 16.0% AWAY 75.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 10.4% 9.00 DRAW 17.9% 5.20 AWAY 71.7% 1.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Kenya Police Bullets (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 75.6% win probability, compared with 71.7% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Kenya Police Bullets (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Zetech Sparks FC (W) Kenya Police Bullets (W)

Shots 8.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 13.0 · On target 8.0

Recent attacking output favours Kenya Police Bullets (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Zetech Sparks FC (W) Kenya Police Bullets (W)

Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.0

Kenya Police Bullets (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Zetech Sparks FC (W) Kenya Police Bullets (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Kenya Police Bullets (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Zetech Sparks FC (W) = (0.0%)

Kenya Police Bullets (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.