PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) vs HJK II (W)

28 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.9 pp

PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)

HJK II (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.3% DRAW 21.6% AWAY 29.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.5% 2.12 DRAW 23.0% 4.00 AWAY 33.5% 2.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 49.3% win probability, compared with 43.5% implied by the market. The 5.9 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) HJK II (W)

Shots 14.3 · On target 9.3 Shots 10.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours PK Keski-Uusimaa (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) HJK II (W)

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 8.8

PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) HJK II (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours PK Keski-Uusimaa (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) ↓ -0.03 (-1.4%)

HJK II (W) ↑ +0.20 (+7.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.