St Ives Town vs Nuneaton Town

28 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

St Ives Town

Nuneaton Town

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 24.4% DRAW 23.1% AWAY 52.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.4% 3.91 DRAW 23.5% 3.90 AWAY 53.1% 1.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: St Ives Town

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

St Ives Town Nuneaton Town

Shots 14.8 · On target 6.8 Shots 10.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours St Ives Town, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

St Ives Town Nuneaton Town

Shots allowed 16.3 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.3

Nuneaton Town has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

St Ives Town Nuneaton Town

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

St Ives Town ↑ +0.31 (+8.6%)

Nuneaton Town = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.