Wenzhou Yincai U20 vs Qingdao Red Lions U20

28 Sep 2026 · 09:30

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE AWAY +6.5 pp

Wenzhou Yincai U20

Qingdao Red Lions U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 7.3% DRAW 10.2% AWAY 82.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 10.8% 8.55 DRAW 13.2% 7.00 AWAY 76.1% 1.21

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Qingdao Red Lions U20 substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 82.6% win probability, compared with 76.1% implied by the market. The 6.5 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Qingdao Red Lions U20 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Wenzhou Yincai U20 Qingdao Red Lions U20

Shots 6.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 17.0 · On target 9.8

Recent attacking output favours Qingdao Red Lions U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Wenzhou Yincai U20 Qingdao Red Lions U20

Shots allowed 20.0 · On target allowed 9.0 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Qingdao Red Lions U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Wenzhou Yincai U20 Qingdao Red Lions U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Qingdao Red Lions U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Wenzhou Yincai U20 ↑ +0.05 (+0.6%)

Qingdao Red Lions U20 ↑ +0.01 (+0.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.