Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20 vs Nantong Zhiyun U20

28 Sep 2026 · 09:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.0 pp

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20

Nantong Zhiyun U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 9.2% DRAW 13.6% AWAY 77.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 11.2% 8.30 DRAW 15.7% 5.93 AWAY 73.1% 1.27

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Nantong Zhiyun U20 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 77.2% win probability, compared with 73.1% implied by the market. The 4.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Nantong Zhiyun U20 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20 Nantong Zhiyun U20

Shots 9.5 · On target 5.0 Shots 13.3 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Nantong Zhiyun U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20 Nantong Zhiyun U20

Shots allowed 19.0 · On target allowed 12.5 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Nantong Zhiyun U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20 Nantong Zhiyun U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Nantong Zhiyun U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U20 ↑ +4.40 (+112.8%)

Nantong Zhiyun U20 ↓ -0.35 (-21.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.