Kyrgyzstan vs Maldives

28 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Kyrgyzstan

Maldives

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 91.4% DRAW 5.9% AWAY 2.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 90.8% 1.10 DRAW 6.7% 15.00 AWAY 2.6% 39.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Maldives

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kyrgyzstan Maldives

Shots 4.8 · On target 1.5 Shots 5.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Maldives, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kyrgyzstan Maldives

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Kyrgyzstan has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kyrgyzstan Maldives

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Kyrgyzstan ↑ +0.01 (+0.9%)

Maldives ↑ +13.00 (+50.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.