Olimpia Asuncion (W) vs Nacional-Humaita (W)

28 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Olimpia Asuncion (W)

Nacional-Humaita (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 93.5% DRAW 4.7% AWAY 1.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 92.5% 1.03 DRAW 5.6% 17.00 AWAY 1.9% 51.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Olimpia Asuncion (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Olimpia Asuncion (W) Nacional-Humaita (W)

Shots 16.5 · On target 7.3 Shots 11.5 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Olimpia Asuncion (W) Nacional-Humaita (W)

Shots allowed 3.5 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Olimpia Asuncion (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Olimpia Asuncion (W) Nacional-Humaita (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Olimpia Asuncion (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Olimpia Asuncion (W) = (0.0%)

Nacional-Humaita (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.