CS Dock Sud Reserves vs Defensores Unidos Reserves

28 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.4 pp

CS Dock Sud Reserves

Defensores Unidos Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.3% DRAW 23.3% AWAY 12.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.9% 1.79 DRAW 24.9% 4.30 AWAY 15.2% 7.07

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates CS Dock Sud Reserves clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 64.3% win probability, compared with 59.9% implied by the market. The 4.4 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

CS Dock Sud Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CS Dock Sud Reserves Defensores Unidos Reserves

Shots 13.8 · On target 5.8 Shots 6.8 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours CS Dock Sud Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CS Dock Sud Reserves Defensores Unidos Reserves

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.0

CS Dock Sud Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CS Dock Sud Reserves Defensores Unidos Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours CS Dock Sud Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CS Dock Sud Reserves = (0.0%)

Defensores Unidos Reserves ↑ +0.07 (+1.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.