Varzea Grande EC vs Chapada FC

27 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Varzea Grande EC

Chapada FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.3% DRAW 26.0% AWAY 32.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.9% 2.20 DRAW 26.4% 3.40 AWAY 32.7% 2.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Chapada FC

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Varzea Grande EC Chapada FC

Shots 1.8 · On target 1.3 Shots 3.5 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Chapada FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Varzea Grande EC Chapada FC

Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Varzea Grande EC Chapada FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Varzea Grande EC = (0.0%)

Chapada FC = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.