Tesla PA vs Pedreira

28 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Tesla PA

Pedreira

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.2% DRAW 25.1% AWAY 38.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.5% 2.60 DRAW 25.6% 3.50 AWAY 39.9% 2.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Tesla PA

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tesla PA Pedreira

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 5.0 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Tesla PA, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tesla PA Pedreira

Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 1.5

Pedreira has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tesla PA Pedreira

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

No movement data

Tesla PA —

Pedreira —

No stored odds movement is available for this match.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.