Belenense vs Gaviao Kyikateje

28 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Belenense

Gaviao Kyikateje

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.4% DRAW 28.6% AWAY 30.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.0% 2.30 DRAW 28.7% 3.20 AWAY 31.3% 2.94

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Belenense

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Belenense Gaviao Kyikateje

Shots 7.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 2.8 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Belenense, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Belenense Gaviao Kyikateje

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 1.0

Gaviao Kyikateje has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Belenense Gaviao Kyikateje

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Belenense = (0.0%)

Gaviao Kyikateje = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.