Parana FC San Pedro vs Atletico Baradero

29 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Parana FC San Pedro

Atletico Baradero

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.8% DRAW 28.8% AWAY 33.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.0% 2.54 DRAW 28.9% 3.25 AWAY 34.1% 2.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Atletico Baradero

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Parana FC San Pedro Atletico Baradero

Shots 5.3 · On target 2.3 Shots 12.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Atletico Baradero, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Parana FC San Pedro Atletico Baradero

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Parana FC San Pedro has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Parana FC San Pedro Atletico Baradero

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Parana FC San Pedro ↑ +0.24 (+10.4%)

Atletico Baradero ↓ -0.13 (-4.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.