Atletico Juventud vs Club Pilcomayo FBC

28 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.3 pp

Atletico Juventud

Club Pilcomayo FBC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 24.6% DRAW 22.9% AWAY 52.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.5% 3.16 DRAW 24.3% 3.70 AWAY 47.1% 1.91

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Club Pilcomayo FBC clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 52.4% win probability, compared with 47.1% implied by the market. The 5.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Club Pilcomayo FBC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atletico Juventud Club Pilcomayo FBC

Shots 5.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 11.0 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output favours Club Pilcomayo FBC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atletico Juventud Club Pilcomayo FBC

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 1.3

Club Pilcomayo FBC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atletico Juventud Club Pilcomayo FBC

The combined recent performance profile favours Club Pilcomayo FBC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Atletico Juventud ↓ -1.99 (-38.6%)

Club Pilcomayo FBC ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.