Deportivo Pinoza vs Club Oriental

28 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.4 pp

Deportivo Pinoza

Club Oriental

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.6% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 39.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.5% 2.50 DRAW 27.0% 3.38 AWAY 36.5% 2.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Club Oriental relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 39.9% win probability, compared with 36.5% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Club Oriental has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Pinoza Club Oriental

Shots 3.0 · On target 1.0 Shots 8.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Club Oriental, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Pinoza Club Oriental

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.8

Club Oriental has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Pinoza Club Oriental

The combined recent performance profile favours Club Oriental.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Deportivo Pinoza = (0.0%)

Club Oriental = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.