Sportivo Bella Italia vs CA Bella Vista

30 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Sportivo Bella Italia

CA Bella Vista

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.0% DRAW 27.5% AWAY 42.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.0% 3.30 DRAW 27.6% 3.48 AWAY 43.4% 2.21

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CA Bella Vista

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sportivo Bella Italia CA Bella Vista

Shots 12.0 · On target 5.0 Shots 12.3 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sportivo Bella Italia CA Bella Vista

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Sportivo Bella Italia has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sportivo Bella Italia CA Bella Vista

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sportivo Bella Italia = (0.0%)

CA Bella Vista ↑ +0.03 (+1.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.