Croatia U19 vs France U19

28 Sep 2026 · 15:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Croatia U19

France U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.9% DRAW 24.2% AWAY 52.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.7% 4.06 DRAW 24.6% 3.75 AWAY 52.7% 1.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Croatia U19

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Croatia U19 France U19

Shots 5.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 5.0 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Croatia U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Croatia U19 France U19

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 1.5

France U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Croatia U19 France U19

The combined recent performance profile favours France U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Croatia U19 ↑ +0.12 (+3.2%)

France U19 ↑ +0.02 (+1.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.