Deportes Concepcion vs O'Higgins

01 Oct 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Deportes Concepcion

O'Higgins

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.7% DRAW 27.4% AWAY 29.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.9% 2.33 DRAW 27.6% 3.53 AWAY 30.5% 3.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: O'Higgins

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportes Concepcion O'Higgins

Shots 10.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 13.5 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours O'Higgins, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportes Concepcion O'Higgins

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 4.3

Deportes Concepcion has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportes Concepcion O'Higgins

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Deportes Concepcion ↑ +0.07 (+3.1%)

O'Higgins ↑ +0.18 (+5.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.