USA U19 vs Wales U19

29 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.6 pp

USA U19

Wales U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 65.0% DRAW 20.7% AWAY 14.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 59.4% 1.50 DRAW 22.8% 3.90 AWAY 17.8% 5.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates USA U19 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 65.0% win probability, compared with 59.4% implied by the market. The 5.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

USA U19 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

USA U19 Wales U19

Shots 11.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 3.5 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours USA U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

USA U19 Wales U19

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 5.3

USA U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

USA U19 Wales U19

The combined recent performance profile favours USA U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

USA U19 = (0.0%)

Wales U19 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.