Windsor & Eton vs AFC Stoneham

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Windsor & Eton

AFC Stoneham

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.9% DRAW 21.5% AWAY 28.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.8% 2.01 DRAW 22.7% 4.24 AWAY 29.5% 3.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Windsor & Eton

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Windsor & Eton AFC Stoneham

Shots 7.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 6.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Windsor & Eton AFC Stoneham

Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.5

Windsor & Eton has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Windsor & Eton AFC Stoneham

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Windsor & Eton ↑ +0.01 (+0.4%)

AFC Stoneham ↑ +0.35 (+12.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.