West Auckland vs Ashington

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.4 pp

West Auckland

Ashington

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.8% DRAW 22.6% AWAY 24.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.4% 2.00 DRAW 23.8% 4.15 AWAY 26.8% 3.68

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for West Auckland relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 52.8% win probability, compared with 49.4% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: West Auckland

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

West Auckland Ashington

Shots 12.3 · On target 6.5 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours West Auckland, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

West Auckland Ashington

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

West Auckland Ashington

The combined recent performance profile favours West Auckland.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

West Auckland ↓ -0.10 (-4.8%)

Ashington ↑ +0.88 (+31.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.