Beverley Town vs Lincoln Utd

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +6.3 pp

Beverley Town

Lincoln Utd

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.8% DRAW 23.0% AWAY 28.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.4% 2.30 DRAW 24.3% 4.02 AWAY 33.3% 2.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Beverley Town substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 48.8% win probability, compared with 42.4% implied by the market. The 6.3 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Beverley Town has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Beverley Town Lincoln Utd

Shots 11.0 · On target 6.5 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Beverley Town Lincoln Utd

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 19.3 · On target allowed 10.8

Beverley Town has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Beverley Town Lincoln Utd

The combined recent performance profile favours Beverley Town.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Beverley Town = (0.0%)

Lincoln Utd ↑ +0.53 (+22.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.