Dunston UTS vs Guisborough Town

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.7 pp

Dunston UTS

Guisborough Town

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.5% DRAW 21.7% AWAY 20.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.8% 1.77 DRAW 23.1% 4.14 AWAY 23.1% 4.13

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Dunston UTS relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 57.5% win probability, compared with 53.8% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Dunston UTS

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dunston UTS Guisborough Town

Shots 11.8 · On target 4.5 Shots 11.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dunston UTS Guisborough Town

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.3

Dunston UTS has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dunston UTS Guisborough Town

The combined recent performance profile favours Dunston UTS.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Dunston UTS ↑ +0.07 (+4.3%)

Guisborough Town ↑ +0.33 (+8.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.