Liversedge vs North Ferriby

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Liversedge

North Ferriby

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.1% DRAW 21.9% AWAY 23.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.9% 1.77 DRAW 22.8% 4.18 AWAY 23.2% 4.11

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Liversedge

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Liversedge North Ferriby

Shots 14.8 · On target 8.0 Shots 13.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Liversedge, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Liversedge North Ferriby

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Liversedge North Ferriby

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Liversedge ↑ +0.07 (+4.0%)

North Ferriby ↑ +0.36 (+9.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.