Matlock Town vs Bradford P A

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.7 pp

Matlock Town

Bradford P A

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.2% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 38.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.1% 2.50 DRAW 24.8% 3.94 AWAY 36.1% 2.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Bradford P A relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 38.8% win probability, compared with 36.1% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Bradford P A has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Matlock Town Bradford P A

Shots 13.0 · On target 6.0 Shots 13.5 · On target 8.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Matlock Town Bradford P A

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.5

Bradford P A has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Matlock Town Bradford P A

The combined recent performance profile favours Bradford P A.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Matlock Town ↑ +0.50 (+24.8%)

Bradford P A ↓ -0.20 (-6.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.