Bootle vs Nantwich Town

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.9 pp

Bootle

Nantwich Town

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 63.5% DRAW 19.1% AWAY 17.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.6% 1.62 DRAW 20.6% 4.76 AWAY 18.8% 5.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Bootle relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 63.5% win probability, compared with 60.6% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Bootle

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bootle Nantwich Town

Shots 15.3 · On target 7.5 Shots 9.0 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Bootle, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bootle Nantwich Town

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bootle Nantwich Town

The combined recent performance profile favours Bootle.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Bootle ↓ -0.05 (-3.1%)

Nantwich Town ↑ +1.20 (+30.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.