Kidsgrove Ath vs Lichfield City

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.1 pp

Kidsgrove Ath

Lichfield City

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 82.8% DRAW 9.5% AWAY 7.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 78.7% 1.29 DRAW 11.7% 8.66 AWAY 9.6% 10.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Kidsgrove Ath clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 82.8% win probability, compared with 78.7% implied by the market. The 4.1 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Kidsgrove Ath has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kidsgrove Ath Lichfield City

Shots 7.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 6.5 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Kidsgrove Ath, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kidsgrove Ath Lichfield City

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 21.0 · On target allowed 9.5

Kidsgrove Ath has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kidsgrove Ath Lichfield City

The combined recent performance profile favours Kidsgrove Ath.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Kidsgrove Ath ↑ +0.09 (+7.1%)

Lichfield City ↑ +2.00 (+23.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.