Atherton Collieries vs Vauxhall Motors

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Atherton Collieries

Vauxhall Motors

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.5% DRAW 22.2% AWAY 35.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.5% 2.19 DRAW 23.1% 4.12 AWAY 33.4% 2.86

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Vauxhall Motors has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atherton Collieries Vauxhall Motors

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 11.3 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Vauxhall Motors, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atherton Collieries Vauxhall Motors

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Vauxhall Motors has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atherton Collieries Vauxhall Motors

The combined recent performance profile favours Vauxhall Motors.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Atherton Collieries ↓ -0.06 (-2.8%)

Vauxhall Motors ↑ +0.36 (+14.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.