Wythenshawe FC vs Padiham

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Wythenshawe FC

Padiham

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.7% DRAW 22.2% AWAY 22.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.7% 1.73 DRAW 23.0% 4.10 AWAY 22.3% 4.24

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Padiham

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Wythenshawe FC Padiham

Shots 6.8 · On target 2.3 Shots 7.3 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Wythenshawe FC Padiham

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 7.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Wythenshawe FC Padiham

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Wythenshawe FC = (0.0%)

Padiham ↑ +0.74 (+21.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.