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Estonia U19 League · EE

JK Nomme United U19 vs Johvi FC Phoenix U19

29 Sep 2026 · 16:00
SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.9 pp
JK Nomme United U19
Johvi FC Phoenix U19
HOME 22.7% DRAW 17.3% AWAY 60.0%
HOME 18.9% 4.89 DRAW 17.6% 5.25 AWAY 63.6% 1.45

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for JK Nomme United U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 22.7% win probability, compared with 18.9% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: JK Nomme United U19

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
JK Nomme United U19 Johvi FC Phoenix U19
Shots 27.8 · On target 15.0 Shots 8.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours JK Nomme United U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
JK Nomme United U19 Johvi FC Phoenix U19
Shots allowed 19.8 · On target allowed 11.5 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Johvi FC Phoenix U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
JK Nomme United U19 Johvi FC Phoenix U19

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

JK Nomme United U19 ↑ +0.55 (+12.7%)
Johvi FC Phoenix U19 = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.