Harju JK Laagri U19 vs JK Trans Narva U19

29 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

Harju JK Laagri U19

JK Trans Narva U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.8% DRAW 16.5% AWAY 28.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.3% 1.74 DRAW 18.2% 5.00 AWAY 29.6% 3.08

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Harju JK Laagri U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 54.8% win probability, compared with 52.3% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: JK Trans Narva U19

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Harju JK Laagri U19 JK Trans Narva U19

Shots 15.0 · On target 8.5 Shots 17.3 · On target 9.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Harju JK Laagri U19 JK Trans Narva U19

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 6.0

Harju JK Laagri U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Harju JK Laagri U19 JK Trans Narva U19

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Harju JK Laagri U19 ↑ +0.01 (+0.8%)

JK Trans Narva U19 ↑ +0.08 (+2.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.