Canvey Island vs Newmarket Town

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Canvey Island

Newmarket Town

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.1% DRAW 23.7% AWAY 37.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.7% 2.36 DRAW 24.4% 3.93 AWAY 34.9% 2.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Newmarket Town has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Canvey Island Newmarket Town

Shots 5.3 · On target 2.8 Shots 6.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Canvey Island Newmarket Town

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 1.8

Newmarket Town has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Canvey Island Newmarket Town

The combined recent performance profile favours Newmarket Town.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Canvey Island ↑ +0.26 (+12.1%)

Newmarket Town = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.