Brightlingsea Regent vs AFC Sudbury

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Brightlingsea Regent

AFC Sudbury

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.9% DRAW 22.8% AWAY 42.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.4% 2.77 DRAW 23.7% 4.02 AWAY 41.9% 2.27

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Brightlingsea Regent

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Brightlingsea Regent AFC Sudbury

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 5.5 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Brightlingsea Regent, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Brightlingsea Regent AFC Sudbury

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.5

AFC Sudbury has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Brightlingsea Regent AFC Sudbury

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Brightlingsea Regent ↑ +0.15 (+5.8%)

AFC Sudbury ↑ +0.08 (+3.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.