Fakenham Town vs Felixstowe & Walton Utd

29 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.7 pp

Fakenham Town

Felixstowe & Walton Utd

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.4% DRAW 20.0% AWAY 60.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.9% 4.79 DRAW 21.2% 4.71 AWAY 57.9% 1.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Felixstowe & Walton Utd relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 60.6% win probability, compared with 57.9% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Felixstowe & Walton Utd

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fakenham Town Felixstowe & Walton Utd

Shots 8.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 16.5 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Felixstowe & Walton Utd, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fakenham Town Felixstowe & Walton Utd

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fakenham Town Felixstowe & Walton Utd

The combined recent performance profile favours Felixstowe & Walton Utd.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Fakenham Town ↑ +1.24 (+34.4%)

Felixstowe & Walton Utd ↓ -0.02 (-1.3%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.