Lithuania vs Andorra

30 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

Lithuania

Andorra

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.1% DRAW 27.8% AWAY 16.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 56.5% 1.75 DRAW 27.4% 3.60 AWAY 16.1% 6.14

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lithuania Andorra

Shots 10.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 12.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lithuania Andorra

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.0

Lithuania has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lithuania Andorra

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Lithuania ↑ +0.15 (+9.3%)

Andorra ↑ +1.05 (+20.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.